IPO Guru

Scoring Methodology

How we ensure transparency and accuracy in our ratings

System 01

Analyst Performance Rating

The Analyst Performance Rating is an aggregate 12-month scorecard that measures an analyst's accuracy and the profitability of their recommendations. It is designed to reward consistent winners and penalize high-risk calls that fail to deliver.

Scoring Factors

  • • Accuracy of past verdicts
  • • Profitability of recommendations
  • • Consistency across market cycles
  • • Listing vs Long-term performance

Confidence Adjustment

We apply a sample-size multiplier. Analysts with fewer than 20 reviews have their scores adjusted until they build a robust track record. N < 5 results in an "Early Track Record" status.

The Tiers

85 - 100 Top Performer
67 - 84 Reliable Analyst
55 - 66 Average Performer
45 - 54 Mixed Record
0 - 44 Below Average / Risk
System 02

IPO Sentiment Score

The Sentiment Score reflects the collective wisdom of analysts for a specific IPO. Unlike a simple average, we use a weighted consensus model.

The "Skin in the Game" Weighting

Opinions from Top-Ranked analysts carry up to 3x more weight than those with mixed records. This ensures that the consensus is driven by experts who have historically been right.

⭐ Top 3: 3.0x Weight
✅ Top 10: 2.0x Weight
📈 Top 20: 1.6x Weight
⚖️ Others: 1.0x Weight

Sentiment Tiers

Strong Apply
85+
Apply
67-84
May Apply
55-66
Neutral
45-54
Avoid
21-44
Strictly Avoid
< 21

Performance Buckets

We classify every IPO outcome into four distinct buckets based on Listing Gain and Total Gain (%) to measure how well analyst verdicts align with actual market returns.

Bucket Gain Percentage Outcome
BIG WIN ≥ +25% Exceptional listing/profits
WIN +10% to < +25% Positive market return
FLAT −10% to < +10% Limited gain or safe exit
BAD < −10% Significant capital loss

Verdict Definitions

What do the analyst recommendations actually mean for you as an investor?

APPLY

High conviction recommendation. Analyst believes the company has strong fundamentals or attractive valuation for listing gains.

MAY APPLY

Selective or high-risk recommendation. Suitable for tactical investors or those with higher risk appetite.

NEUTRAL

No clear edge detected. Analyst recommends waiting and watching the market reaction or subscription trends.

AVOID

Recommendation to skip the IPO. Analyst identifies potential risks in valuation, management, or financial health.

Important Disclaimer

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The ratings and scores provided are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a SEBI registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Transparency is our core value. Ratings are calculated automatically based on historically accurate data provided by SEBI Registered and Independent Analysts.